October 4, 2024
The Poster Child for Counterintuitive Thinking
As a young man just starting to learn the game of golf, I remember my confusion when I visited the sporting goods store to purchase my first glove. “Are you right-handed or left-handed” I was asked. “I’m a righty.” “Great, then here’s a glove for your left.” The conversation that ensued was reminiscent of Abbot and Costello’s “Who’s on First.”
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So it is with cap rates. It just seems right to think that if someone throws a higher capitalization rate at you for the property you are selling, you should get a higher selling price. Not the case. Just the opposite in fact.
The purpose of this article is to unconfuse the reader once and for all by doing two things:
- Explaining what a cap rate is, and
- Giving you an easy way to remind yourself if you ever get “re-confused.”
What the Heck is a Cap Rate?
A cap rate is simply the measure of return that any investment is expected to produce. If a buyer speaks of paying an “8.5 cap rate” for a property, that means the buyer is expecting an 8.5% return. Let’s apply this in an example. If a property was throwing off a net operating income (NOI) of $1,000,000, the buyer seeking an 8.5 cap would divide the $1,000,000 by 8.5% to determine the purchase price of $11,764,706. Going backwards, if we multiply the purchase price of $11,764,706 by 8.5%, then the NOI would be $1,000,000.
Now, let’s say that we find a buyer willing to pay 7.75% for that same property that’s producing $1,000,000 NOI. We divide the $1,000,000 NOI by 7.75% and arrive at a purchase price of $12,903,226. Again, if we multiply the higher purchase price of $12,903,226 by 7.75%, we’re back at the same NOI of $1,000,000 but with a purchase price that is $1,138,520 higher because of a LOWER Cap Rate.
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An Easy Way to Remember
With something as counter intuitive as cap rates, it is helpful to have a fallback. I suggest an easy mnemonic; in fact, something easier than remembering how to spell mnemonic. It can actually be fun to come up with something on your own and that is probably way better than the one I use ...
“If the cap is high, it’s time to buy”
“If the cap is LOW, we’re in the dough”
Whatever works for you. Just keep it simple and meaningful.